TAUKTAE likely to move North-North Westwards, cross Gujarat coast between Porbandar & Mahuva during the night (2000- 2300 IST) of 17th may

Cyclone “TAUKTAE” likely to move North-North Westwards and cross Gujarat coast between Porbandar & Mahuva (Bhahvnagar district) east of Diu during the night (2000- 2300 IST) of 17th may with maximum sustained wind speed of 155-165 kmph gusting to 185 kmph 
 
According to the National Weather Forecasting Centre of the India Meteorological Department (IMD): (TIME OF ISSUE: 1850HOURS IST, DATED: 17.05.2021, INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT)

EXTREMELY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM ‘TAUKTAE’ OVER NORTHEAST & ADJOINING EASTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA

DATE/TIME (IST) OF OBSERVATION

BASED ON 17-05-2021 (1730 HRS IST)

LOCATION LATITUDE/LONGITUDE

THE EXTREMELY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM ‘TAUKTAE’LAY CENTRED AT 1730 HRS IST OF TODAY, THE 17TH MAY 2021 OVER NORTHEAST & ADJOINING EASTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA, NEAR LAT. 20.1°N AND LONG. 71.3°E ABOUT

  • 195 KM WEST-NORTHWEST OF MUMBAI (MAHARASHTRA),
  • 80 SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF DIU

CURRENT INTENSITY NEAR CENTRE

170-180 KMPH GUSTING TO 200 KMPH

PAST MOVEMENT

EXTREMELY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM ‘TAUKTAE’MOVED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARDS WITH A SPEED OF 17 KMPH DURING PAST 06 HOURS

FORECAST MOVEMENT, INTENSITY AND LANDFALL

IT IS LIKELY TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARDS AND CROSS GUJARAT COAST BETWEEN PORBANDAR & MAHUVA (BHAHVNAGAR DISTRICT) EAST OF DIU DURING THE NIGHT (2000- 2300 IST) OF 17TH MAY WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OF 155-165 KMPH GUSTING TO 185 KMPH.

 

FORECAST RAINFALL

LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL AT MOST PLACES WITH HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY FALLS AT A FEW PLACES AND EXTREMELY HEAVY FALLS AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER SAURASHTRA, DIU AND ADJOINING GUJARAT REGION ON 17TH& HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY FALLS AT A FEW PLACES OVER GUJARAT REGION AND HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY FALLS AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER SAURASHTRA ON 18TH MAY. ISOLATED HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ALSO LIKELY OVER KUTCH DURING THE SAME PERIOD.

FORECAST WIND SPEED (KMPH)

GALE WIND SPEED REACHING 70-80 KMPH GUSTING TO 90 KMPH IS PREVAILING ALONG AND OFF SOUTH GUJARAT & DAMAN AND DIU COASTS. IT IS LIKELY TO INCREASE BECOMING GALE WINDS SPEED REACHING 155-165 KMPH GUSTING TO 185 KMPH ALONG & OFF GUJARAT COAST (AMRELI, BHAVNAGAR) JUNAGARH, GIR SOMNATH AND 120 -140 KMPH GUSTING TO 165 KMPH OVER BHARUCH, ANAND, SOUTH AHMEDABAD, BOTAD, 90 -100 KMPH GUSTING TO 120 KMPH OVER DEVBHOOMI DWARKA, JAMNAGAR, PORBANDAR, RAJKOT, MORBI, KHEDA DISTRICTS OF GUJARAT FROM TODAY EVENING TILL 18TH EARLY MORNING. GALE WINDS SPEED REACHING 80-90 KMPH GUSTING TO 100 KMPH LIKELY TO PREVAIL ALONG & OFF DADRA, NAGAR HAVELI, DAMAN, VALSAD, NAVSARI, SURAT, SURENDRANAGAR, DISTRICTS FROM 17TH EVENING TILL 18TH MORNING.

FORECAST STORM SURGE

TIDAL WAVE ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE IS LIKELY TO INUNDATE COASTAL AREAS AS PER DETAILS BELOW:

ABOUT 3 - 4 METER (M) OVER ANAND & AMRELI, GIR SOMNATH, DIU, BHAVNAGAR, 2-3 M OVER BHARUCH, SOUTHERN PARTS OF AHMEDABAD,  1-2 M OVER SURAT, NAVSARI, VALSAD, AND 0.5 – 1M OVER THE REMAINING COASTAL DISTRICTS OF GUJARAT DURING THE TIME OF LANDFALL.

REALISED WEATHER

 

 

COASTAL MAHARASHTRA

HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL IS CONTINUING OVER NORTH KONKAN INCLUDING MUMBAI. IT WILL CONTINUE FOR NEXT 12 HRS,

RAINFALL REPORTED DURING 0830 TO 1430 HOURS IST OF TODAY:MUMBAI (COLABA): 18.9 CM, SANTACRUZ: 19.4 CM, ALIBAG:10.5 CM AND DAHANU: 7.3 CM

WIND REPORTED AT 1730 HOURS IST OF TODAY:ALIBAGH: 78 KMPH, SANTACRUZ: 46 KMPH, DAHANU: 31 KMPH

REALISED WEATHER

 

 

GUJARAT & DIU

RAINFALL HAS COMMENCED OVER COASTAL AREAS OF GUJARAT & DIU. IT IS LIKELY TO INCREASE FROM TONIGHT.

WIND REPORTED AT 1730 HOURS IST OF TODAY:  DIU: 40 KMPH, PORBANDAR: 30 KMPH, BHAVNAGAR:  26 KMPH AND DWARKA: 22 KMPH